In addition to apocalyptic scenarios, I also enjoy teasing out the possibilities of action/reaction in society’s macro behaviors. Like Freakonomics taught us, what are the implications to what we’re experiencing and how we’re reacting? Here are a few I’ve heard of and some I’ve dreamed up myself. My favorite is Goldie’s “there’s gonna be a rash of December babies born this year due to the work-from-home mandate.”
Close the borders and…
- Migrant workers cannot come in to perform the agricultural work needed by 1/3 of the industry.
- They won’t be there to pick, pack, and purvey the produce we need directly, and the food industry needs to create our canned, bottled and frozen foods.
- Those same workers won’t be there to perform the planting that will result in crops in four to six months.
- Close the borders and we eventually starve.
Close the schools and after school programs the daycare facilities and…
- All the kids now need parents to stay home.
- Many of those parents are critical service workers: police, healthcare, emergency responders, infrastructure repair.
- And the kids won’t be staying home, or alone, or away from the elders who live with them. They’ll be out mixing it up with other neighborhood kids, perhaps more so that had they just stayed in school.
Shut down the hospitality industry and…
- Fifteen million low to medium wage people lose work if not their jobs.
- Another eight million in the airline industry lose work if not their jobs.
* Suppress spending across the entertainment, sports and restaurant industries and the velocity of money drops through the floor — ending up in a massive recession — one we’ve been expecting for three years.
* Drive the price of oil down below $30/barrel and the booming U.S. shale oil and fracking industry collapses throwing another million workers into the pit.
@ On the bright side, fewer cars on the road means fewer traffic accidents; less air pollution; quicker response to emergency calls (to save an elderly person with COVID symptoms).
* Force everyone to work from home and the homeless go WTF?
@ Fortunately, it’s already second nature to remain socially distant from the homeless.
@ Is there going to be a resurgence of home cooking where millennials learn to make more than Mac-a-cheese and Ramen?
* Too bad Grandma won’t be allowed in the kitchen with those asymptomatic carriers.
* Millions were forced from their homes to live at the whims of the rentier society during the last Great Recession.
@ Although thousands more will end up being force to foreclose during this calamity, at least we know that the rich are just as susceptible to this scourge — so there’s hope a proportionate number will die along with the rest of us.
* Is this the end of the Farmer’s market? Craft fairs? Concerts in the park?
No doubt the unintended and unexpected consequences from this pandemic will continue to play out. How many more can we come up with? I’m sure there are dozens just waiting to be exposed.
- More marijuana smoking/eating?
- More alcohol binging?
- More reviews on movie venues, book venues, products?
- More online psychologist sessions?
- More facetime calls with estranged family?
- More Amazon Prime memberships?
- More neighbor altercations?
- More house cleaning?
- More nookie?